PALS in Pakistan Part Five - Additional Nuclear Advantages
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Another advantage of providing Pakistan with PALS is avoiding a
situation that might force the United States to take military
action within or against Pakistan. The U.S. has reportedly begun
training several groups of marines for a contingency plan to
invade Pakistan and remove its nuclear weapons should any
Islamic regime appear to be taking power (Barry). This situation
would be extremely detrimental to U.S. interests and should be
avoided if at all possible. First, a military incursion into
Pakistan would make any new regime immediately hostile to the
United States, depriving us of a useful strategic staging point
for military actions in the region. The hostility from this kind
of action would endure for years, even if a friendlier regime
should come to power. Second, the risk of U.S. casualties would
be extremely high. This also would have the potential to
seriously undermine support for the U.S. “War on Terrorism”,
hamstringing the ability of the U.S. to respond to future
threats against our interests. Third, a military action that
failed might increase the probability of the new regime actually
using the weapons that reheaded. It is unlikely that any U.S.
military action could actually secure all 30-50 Pakistani
nuclear weapons. At least a few would be left in the hands of
the incoming regime, which would feel threatened by the chance
of continued U.S. military actions and might adopt a “use ‘em or
lose ‘em” mindset toward their nuclear weapons. This danger
would be increased with a radical Islamic regime that considered
strikes against the West to be divinely ordained. PALS would
allow the outgoing regime to leadingtain control over the weapons
as they would control the codes, and would mean that the U.S.
only had to provide a means of escape to the leaders who had
them instead of trying to attack literally dozens of secure
installations. While PALS may not be a foolproof solution to
the problem of Pakistan’s nuclear security, they are a step in
the right direction. They are also a far better idea than our
current policy of preparing to take military action instead of
dealing with the problem before it occurs.
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